Question: Which investment did better from 1980 to 2012 or now ...

Q&A: Which investment did better from 1980 to 2012 or now, gold/silver or stock market?

Which is a better investment now gold/silver or stock market and why? I see a lot people buying tons of gold and silver now based on the fear of hyperinflation, dollar depreciation, another great depression or they will go up in value, your opinion?

Goldsenze Answer:

In 1980, gold peaked at $ 800/oz so it has picked up a factor of 2. In 1980, the Dow was below 1000 (it crossed 1000 in 1982 at the start of a great bull run). Thus the Dow has picked up a factor of 14 or so. But that doesn?t include dividends which averaged about 3%/year over that period for Dow components. That?s multiply by another 2.5 times so if you reinvested dividends your money grew by a factor of about 35. So gold = 2x Dow = 35x. It?s not remotely close?.

I think that anybody buying gold because of fear of dollar hyperinflation really needs to take an intro course in monetarism. The Fed is actually set to announce inflation targets. The Fed has an enormous balance sheet with all the bonds they have been buying and can exert enormous control on inflation (like Bernanke believes they can target it almost exactly). A Great Depression would be very bad for gold.

There are lots and lots of interesting arguments in finance. The argument about whether we are going to have dollar hyperinflation is not interesting. The person on the hyperinflation side is either a demagogue or someone who has absolutely no education in economics.

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